Prior beliefs and the interpretation of scientific results
Prior beliefs and the interpretation of scientific results
Blog Article
How do prior beliefs affect the interpretation of scientific results? I discuss a hypothetical scenario where researchers publish results that could either support a theory underwater treasures sunken medallion they believe in, or refute that theory, and ask if the two instances carry the same weight.More colloquially, I ask if animed blue lotion topical spray we should overweigh scientific results supporting a given theory and reported by a researcher, or a team, that initially did not support that theory.I illustrate the challenge using two examples from psychology: evidence accumulation models, and extra sensory perception.